This is an update to the first post: A Regression Model for Driver Win Probability. In that post, we treated the lifetime win rates and podium rates as constants for each driver. Although this made setting up the regression model easier, we got the unlikely result of Lewis Hamilton having the highest win probability in a hypothetical next race. As an improvement, we will upgrade the win rate and podium rate features to be dynamic year by year. For example, we will regress all of the 2018 wins against 2017 driver performance, 2019 wins against 2018 performance, and so on […]